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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on August 19?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      yen4uLast traded
      No-$2,865.20
    • S
      TokorLast traded
      No-$907.28
    • S
      Impressive-SteakLast traded
      Yes+$35.01

  • Game Handicap: SU (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    SU Esports
    Won
    Dark Passage
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      SU Esports-$4,642.20
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      SU Esports-$162.79
    • A
      am100Last traded
      Dark Passage+$145.01

  • Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chicago Cubs-$1,839.17
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Chicago Cubs-$596.96
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Chicago White Sox+$445.01

  • Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Los Angeles Sparks
    Won
    Connecticut Sun
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Connecticut Sun+$2,645.18
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Los Angeles Sparks-$1,216.76
    • S
      SunlineTickerLast traded
      Los Angeles Sparks-$347.50

  • Will Vietnam vs. Malaysia end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$335.69
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$274.97
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$164.64

  • Deportivo Riestra AFBC vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$1,078.50
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Under+$515.59
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$5.22

  • Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    LASK Linz
    Won
    Celtic FC
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$1,201.12
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Boston Red Sox+$775.61
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks-$753.01

  • Will Tigres FC win on 2026-08-19?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will APIA Leichhardt FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Vietnam (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Malaysia
    Won
    Vietnam
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Lesa Men: Maxime Janvier vs Daniele Rapagnetta

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Daniele Rapagnetta
    Won
    Daniele Rapagnetta
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Daniele Rapagnetta+$298.68
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Daniele Rapagnetta+$112.59
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Daniele Rapagnetta+$40.70

  • Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    SK Nebula
    Won
    G2 Gozen
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 1 LASK Linz?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$125.83
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$23.40
    • A
      dizzyLast traded
      No+$549.98

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up-$994.88
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$179.66
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$45.74

  • Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AE Kifisiás win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Won
    Colorado Rockies
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Celtic FC 3 - 1 LASK Linz?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$17.45
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$12.43
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$4.80

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kostyuk
    Won
    Kostyuk
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 Málaga CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$286.14
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$225.65
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$46.78

  • XRP Up or Down - August 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Thanaphat Boosarawongse vs Steffan van Weldam

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Steffan van Weldam
    Won
    Thanaphat Boosarawongse
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Steffan van Weldam-$18.82
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Steffan van Weldam-$9.50
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Thanaphat Boosarawongse+$161.22

  • Exact Score: CS Independiente Rivadavia 0 - 0 Fluminense FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$68.95
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No+$20.94
    • A
      opopv3Last traded
      No+$159.53

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CarLast traded
      Up-$384.97
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$27.77
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$27.37

  • Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Won
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$212.02
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Miami Marlins-$74.18
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$83.88

  • Will APIA Leichhardt FC win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Naive-BladeLast traded
      Over+$452.10
    • A
      legitgameLast traded
      Under-$433.56
    • A
      am100Last traded
      Over+$432.81

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Londrina EC 0 - 0 AC Goianiense?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$240.29
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$72.78
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$4.84

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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