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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    devils.one
    Won
    devils.one
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      devils.one+$2.50
    • A
      self-defenceLast traded
      devils.one+$85
    • A
      ocssLast traded
      devils.one+$58.80

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: No Sweat Blossom vs FUSION X (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Main Event Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FUSION X
    Won
    FUSION X
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Ceará SC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$135.05
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No+$40.98
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$36.85

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$129.27
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No+$26.98
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No+$3.06

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Mark Kaye be the FL-05 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$249.88
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No+$297.98
    • B
      gghffLast traded
      No+$56.67

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Vitality Academy - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vitality Academy
    Won
    Vitality Academy
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Vitality Academy+$59.29
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Vitality Academy+$51.33
    • S
      Black-FacilityLast traded
      Vitality Academy+$6.24

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs ex-Sashi Academy - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-Sashi Academy
    Won
    ex-Sashi Academy
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 Málaga CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$117.42
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$111.41
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$48.67

  • Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Club Atlético de Madrid
    Won
    Club Atlético de Madrid
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Club Atlético de Madrid+$49.65
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Club Atlético de Madrid+$31.11
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Málaga CF-$17.98

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave Win the Sinquefield Cup?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 17 2026?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: NEC 3 - 3 FK Bodø/Glimt?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$89.66
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$37.50
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$6.66

  • Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 19?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$2.30
    • B
      gghffLast traded
      Yes-$72.73
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$10.39

  • Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$313.86
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$217.65
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$122.24

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CD Tolima (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Independiente del Valle
    Won
    Independiente del Valle
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Independiente del Valle+$265.41
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Independiente del Valle+$250
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Independiente del Valle+$41.01

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CS Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 3 Fluminense FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Noir Verse
    Won
    Noir Verse
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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