Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 84% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 26,864
- No consensus
- 23,869
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$49.48
- AfooooolLast tradedNo-$13.86
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes+$30.95
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$31.64
- BwesolyjasiuLast tradedUnder+$0.41
- BlucasolicorLast tradedUnder+$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$18.35
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$13.26
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$27
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$101.90
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$3.77
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedDown+$73.63
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$7.34
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$0.19
- BAlex698Last tradedUp-$39.34
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$148.08
- SyoungwhaleLast tradedYes-$100.85
- SGC-PLast tradedYes-$15.59
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$52.42
- Adv-pmLast tradedOver+$19.51
- AmatsukaLast tradedOver+$1.63
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$17.25
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$7.80
- AbiyanmengLast tradedNo+$6.07
- Called
- Charlton Athletic FC
- Won
- Charlton Athletic FC
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDerby County FC-$211.23
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedCharlton Athletic FC+$171.21
- AfooooolLast tradedCharlton Athletic FC+$71.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$18.37
- BAristotLast tradedUp-$60.24
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedDown+$48.35
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$8.34
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$6.25
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$14.83
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$130.60
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedNo+$87.36
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$14.32
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$21.61
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$6.69
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes+$0.54
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$52.60
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo-$39.85
- BkoninginhetuniverseLast tradedYes+$16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$1.44
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$27.93
- BneverhackmeLast tradedNo-$2.24
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$160.33
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver-$25.99
- BGlamorous-IntuitionLast tradedOver-$162.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$22.86
- BPrimePenguinLast tradedDown+$3.99
- BFXCLast tradedUp+$1.54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- APricey-MillionLast tradedNo-$22.41
- BneverhackmeLast tradedYes-$5.99
- BquietparcelLast tradedNo+$0.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$25.03
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp-$12.75
- BJIJIJIJIJIJIJILast tradedDown+$10.05
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$49.45
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$3.65
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$18.69
- Called
- Jodar
- Won
- Jodar
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJodar+$452.45
- SmishipolisLast tradedJodar+$4.54
- ADCAAALast tradedShapovalov-$430.27
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$50.24
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$30.10
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes-$54.12
- Called
- Atlanta Braves
- Won
- Atlanta Braves
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedArizona Diamondbacks-$341.64
- ScurieLast tradedAtlanta Braves+$280.19
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAtlanta Braves+$35.31
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$222
- SLilybaeumLast tradedNo+$8.80
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes-$204.72
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$124.68
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedUnder+$54.42
- Aacount3Last tradedUnder+$44.21
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$168.65
- AfooooolLast tradedUnder+$194.50
- BlucasolicorLast tradedUnder+$0.05
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$124.93
- Aacount3Last tradedNo+$120.36
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedNo+$30
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$125.81
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$61.63
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedNo+$39.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown+$46
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$35.37
- BchendaozaiLast tradedDown+$14.30
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$47.77
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedNo+$43.54
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo-$19.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$23.70
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown-$2.09
- BndjjwobaqqLast tradedDown+$2
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$10.61
- B0x182f…de4fLast tradedNo+$8.27
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$4.85
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedOver-$12.66
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$38.85
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver-$2.60
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$474.70
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$52.70
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver-$398.47
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$156.38
- Aacount3Last tradedNo+$150
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedNo+$29.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$48.29
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$13.07
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedUp-$12.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$42.83
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$9.90
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$10.16
- Called
- G2 Gozen
- Won
- G2 Gozen
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedG2 Gozen+$10.94
- Acbfe5306Last tradedG2 Gozen+$11.51
- BInterzoneCoLast tradedG2 Gozen+$0.31
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedUnder+$0.69
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$0.66
- Amando88Last tradedUnder+$20.98
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 15?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$21.50
- BceasalLast tradedNo+$0.72
- BiliabouchouevLast tradedNo+$0.10
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$104.09
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$46.61
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes+$79.56
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$2.93
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$0.25
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$18.88
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$30.39
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$13.88
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo-$5.42
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$38
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedUnder-$59.91
- ApelikLast tradedOver+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 15?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo-$17.59
- BhotbotLast tradedYes+$38.57
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedYes+$0.39
23,730 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 24,335 more positions across 2,367 markets on this day.