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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
2,246 right749 wrong

All wallets: 84% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
23,869

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$266.70
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$204.22
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Over-$136.96

  • Counter-Strike: Lavked vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    INOX Division
    Won
    Lavked
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • IFK Varnamo vs. Ostersunds FK: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bristol City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men: Dan Added vs Philip Henning

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Philip Henning
    Won
    Philip Henning
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Philip Henning+$86.01
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Philip Henning-$28.61
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Philip Henning+$11.90

  • Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Westchester SC vs. FC Naples: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SK Brann 3 - 1 Hamarkameratene?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$6.67
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$4.76
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      No+$33.96

  • Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. FC Energie Cottbus end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$15
    • A
      Car-cLast traded
      No+$3.24
    • B
      mr-sarkozyLast traded
      No+$25

  • Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Nexus
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Platense 1 - 3 CA Boca Juniors?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$36
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$26.03
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      No+$3.56

  • Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Revise - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    eternal premium
    Won
    Revise
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      eternal premium-$41.40
    • A
      AbsingLast traded
      Revise+$152.06
    • A
      BookWarriorLast traded
      eternal premium-$46.48

  • Valorant: Habos Babos vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Habos Babos
    Won
    Habos Babos
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Habos Babos+$53.74
    • A
      cbfe5306Last traded
      Habos Babos+$11.45
    • B
      dips.Last traded
      Twisted Minds Orchid-$1.04

  • Exact Score: Incheon United FC 2 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 3 Villarreal CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$23.50
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$17.64
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      No+$12.01

  • Will Amazonas FC AM win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Forge FC Hamilton win on 2026-08-15?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Dynamo Kyiv
    Won
    FK Kolos Kovalivka
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      FK Dynamo Kyiv-$580.69
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      FK Dynamo Kyiv-$81.36
    • A
      TENETINOLast traded
      FK Kolos Kovalivka+$629.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Stade Rennais FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Orlando City SC
    Won
    Orlando City SC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tottenham Hotspur vs. TSG Hoffenheim end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)

    No consensus

    Baseball

    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Chicago Cubs-$148.46
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$61.17
    • B
      MuneerLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$22.21

  • Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Nashville SC O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Porto leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$198.36
    • B
      mr-sarkozyLast traded
      No+$103.74
    • B
      dips.Last traded
      No+$76.97

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 16 million or more views on day 1?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Villarreal CF
    Won
    Villarreal CF
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Team Vitality make playoffs?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Incheon United FC 2 - 0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$76.58
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$71.80
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$28.01

  • NK Istra 1961 vs. NK Slaven Belupo: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Manchester United (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Manchester United
    Won
    AC Milan
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

23,730 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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