Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 84% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 26,864
- No consensus
- 23,869
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$150.33
- BaddasfdasLast tradedDown+$38
- BndjjwobaqqLast tradedDown+$33.15
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedOver+$66.56
- ALeLynxMalynxLast tradedOver+$27.90
- ASofiazinhaLast tradedOver+$1.14
- Called
- FC København
- Won
- FC København
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$158.48
- Aarbfinder2026Last tradedDown-$52.04
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown-$10.16
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$1,132.99
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$270.93
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedYes-$326.90
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ayen4uLast tradedYes+$11.73
- BPaddyAlphaLast tradedNo-$233.19
- BAJSVLast tradedNo+$7.02
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$157.14
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$0.53
- BAlphaPengu1nLast tradedNo-$58.66
Games Total: O/U 2.5
No consensus- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$341.12
- Amadoka123Last tradedUnder+$1.14
- BlmtscaptLast tradedUnder+$125
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedUnder+$156.79
- BalpacaLast tradedUnder+$118.78
- BBigFatPigXLast tradedOver-$61.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$174.12
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$31.70
- BJIJIJIJIJIJIJILast tradedUp+$10.58
- Called
- XLG Gaming
- Won
- XLG Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedXLG Gaming+$85.88
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedXLG Gaming+$42.92
- AoheheLast tradedXLG Gaming+$81.41
Will NIP.eStar Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$77.59
- AplainfolderLast tradedNo-$7.87
- BdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$119.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aarbfinder2026Last tradedDown+$110.79
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$45.93
- B0x8e41faaaaea1b6eae4546eca7713066dc05Last tradedDown+$48.56
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$186.74
- SLonnieHawkinsLast tradedOver-$67.13
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder+$50.32
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$363.85
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$92.87
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedYes-$127.32
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
No consensus- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$425.21
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver+$269.64
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder-$178.87
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder+$82.34
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$10.11
- AqrupLast tradedUnder+$77.43
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sameisgoat11Last tradedOver+$69.41
- AfunfactsLast tradedOver+$41.87
- BEarnest-TwitterLast tradedOver+$338.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedUp+$45.89
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$145.95
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$3.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$25.17
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$7.91
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedDown+$225.36
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYes+$70.38
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$61.51
- Asolstice2025Last tradedNo+$29.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$197.16
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$5.92
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp-$1.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$36.77
- BGlamorous-IntuitionLast tradedDown-$152.44
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp-$1.76
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$155.30
- AfooooolLast tradedYes-$38.97
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$151.53
- Called
- T1
- Won
- T1
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sameisgoat11Last tradedT1+$21.09
- Anascent1134513Last tradedT1+$18.99
- Acryingbabydicer87Last tradedT1+$0.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 78%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$67.22
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedUnder-$124.74
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver+$3.61
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$5.23
- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedOver+$0.69
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder-$192.62
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$1.19
- ALeLynxMalynxLast tradedUnder+$67.45
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedUnder+$102.15
Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)
No consensus- Won
- Tromsø IL
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedMolde FK-$192.36
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedTromsø IL+$59.36
- BswisstonyLast tradedMolde FK-$68.23
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AtaemaxxLast tradedUnder+$63.24
- A0x138aD4FD2E68C3468FaB74a6O1AD166894952a04Last tradedUnder+$4.38
- BSergh-sLast tradedUnder+$116.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AyishiwuchengLast tradedUnder+$43.22
- BalpacaLast tradedUnder+$103.87
- BlmtscaptLast tradedUnder+$32.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$8.07
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$0.01
- BrdimathLast tradedUp+$128.26
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$195.71
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver+$57.09
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder-$196.47
- Called
- RSC Anderlecht
- Won
- RSC Anderlecht
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedRSC Anderlecht+$7.97
- SRock.SanLast tradedRSC Anderlecht+$2.70
- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedRSC Anderlecht+$0.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$195.55
- BwhynothappyLast tradedDown+$18
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp-$4.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$91.17
- BDerpyHoovesLast tradedUp+$87.12
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown-$2.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$190.20
- BDerpyHoovesLast tradedUp+$13.59
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp-$3.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aarbfinder2026Last tradedDown+$82.51
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$76.88
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$12.50
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedYes-$124.23
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$10
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$226.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$144.13
- BJIJIJIJIJIJIJILast tradedUp+$10.82
- BDerpyHoovesLast tradedUp+$6.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedUnder+$104.17
- Sameisgoat11Last tradedUnder+$36.42
- Ahex3dLast tradedOver-$183.76
- Called
- Golubic
- Won
- Tjen
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedGolubic-$85.30
- A0x9f15…bdb3Last tradedGolubic+$326.31
- AlooppauLast tradedTjen+$0.36
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedYes+$160.42
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo-$115.66
- AkitopesivanLast tradedYes+$128.33
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$269.61
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$19.91
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$9.53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$104.03
- Ayen4uLast tradedNo+$31.04
- BPeterErikssonLast tradedYes-$118.78
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akhamzat99Last tradedNo-$126.58
- BjanglinjackLast tradedNo-$121.53
- Bakosialex703Last tradedYes+$56.88
- Called
- FC Energie Cottbus
- Won
- DSC Arminia Bielefeld
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedFC Energie Cottbus-$502.99
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedFC Energie Cottbus-$100.69
- APBot-10Last tradedDSC Arminia Bielefeld+$9.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$30.50
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$16.88
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedUp-$93.24
23,730 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 24,335 more positions across 2,367 markets on this day.