Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 84% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 26,864
- No consensus
- 23,869
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 88%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$108
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$51.04
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver+$13.16
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$9.17
- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedOver+$0.69
- AZeljkoLast tradedOver+$62.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$28.24
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$4.80
- BErousLast tradedUp+$61.97
- Called
- CF Montréal
- Won
- CF Montréal
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedCF Montréal+$24.49
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedCF Montréal-$1.88
- ASTAYCALMLast tradedCF Montréal+$0.11
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$116.61
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$67.78
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$64.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$169.88
- Aarbfinder2026Last tradedDown+$145.02
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$3.57
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedUnder+$12.23
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedUnder+$3.24
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$2.36
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$90.61
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYes-$88.15
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$88.05
- Called
- Minnesota United FC
- Won
- Minnesota United FC
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedMinnesota United FC+$144.08
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedReal Salt Lake-$138.59
- SSnakeBallLast tradedMinnesota United FC+$12.17
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$46.87
- SNM-PLast tradedYes-$19.43
- SGC-PLast tradedYes-$5.32
Brazil bans Discord by August 15, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SJAMJAMJAM4Last tradedNo+$17.11
- Anonkenny90Last tradedNo+$31.42
- BsmellyEllieLast tradedYes-$75.41
- Called
- Rwanda
- Won
- Rwanda
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedRwanda+$118.42
- SSATHISHRKOLast tradedRwanda+$3.06
- Asolstice2025Last tradedMalawi-$54.99
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 9%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$143.40
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$76.76
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$3.17
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$249.60
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$239.22
- SfoxchaserLast tradedOver+$54.55
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- UNiTY esports
- Won
- UNiTY esports
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedMisa Esports-$34.06
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedUNiTY esports+$12.84
- BResignationLast tradedUNiTY esports+$1.44
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbluddLast tradedNo+$47.95
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$9.55
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$5.90
Will Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AwokerjoesleeperLast tradedNo+$1.97
- A613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes+$1.64
- APPMTLast tradedYes+$0.09
- Called
- Edward Winter
- Won
- Edward Winter
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedSteven Christie-$41.48
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedEdward Winter+$6
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedEdward Winter+$30.79
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder+$48.24
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$1.02
- ALeLynxMalynxLast tradedOver-$37.08
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedOver+$358.41
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$83.52
- A0x87f7…8f45Last tradedUnder-$168.73
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$104.68
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$0.93
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder-$29.47
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Slukibazdonauki754Last tradedYes+$607.96
- SCypyaLast tradedYes+$4.66
- ACactus-001Last tradedYes+$0.07
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$692.11
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver-$619.80
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$55.51
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 16?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$41.54
- BWooden-Cation-JourneyLast tradedYes+$76.81
- Brocky42011Last tradedNo-$69.63
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$104.92
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$46.84
- SgollazaLast tradedNo+$41.05
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$201.97
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$158.40
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$134.23
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$273.68
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$255.90
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$47.46
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$90
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$90
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedNo+$10.26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$0.70
- AOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$0.50
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$6.08
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$107.42
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver+$98.86
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedOver+$22.12
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLegal-Knot-NeglectLast tradedNo-$255.31
- Sblackewolf83Last tradedYes+$244.95
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$2.17
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sjack.jrLast tradedNo-$226.50
- Sblackewolf83Last tradedNo-$182.22
- AAztecClustersLast tradedYes+$482.86
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AromuluxLast tradedOver+$157.92
- AwhynotchocolateLast tradedOver+$0.95
- A0x0770Last tradedOver+$0.95
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$85.90
- SrushiyaLast tradedOver+$44.77
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedUnder-$57.32
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 15?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedYes+$0.15
- BColossal-Bookcase-SaloonLast tradedYes-$15.32
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$14.45
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$1.50
- A0x0770Last tradedOver+$0.86
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedUnder-$83.13
- Called
- Nexus
- Won
- Bushido Wildcats
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SyoungwhaleLast tradedNexus-$56.70
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedNexus+$9.40
- ABookWarriorLast tradedBushido Wildcats+$33.46
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Right- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedUnder-$17,776.99
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$2,875.46
- SroscoffLast tradedOver+$298.74
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$9,137.66
- SNooseracLast tradedYes-$1,991.10
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedNo+$102.44
- Called
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- Won
- Club Brugge
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOud-Heverlee Leuven-$783.33
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOud-Heverlee Leuven-$53.06
- APBot-10Last tradedOud-Heverlee Leuven-$148.82
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$5,385.59
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$1,318.85
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$1,313.05
- Called
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Won
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Storta.techLast tradedSt. Louis Cardinals+$3,732.60
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSt. Louis Cardinals+$63.23
- Aarbfinder2026Last tradedSt. Louis Cardinals+$187.25
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$731.36
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$658.91
- Ajohannsi19Last tradedNo+$189
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$3,128.62
- SroscoffLast tradedUnder+$8
- AMEK9Last tradedUnder+$5.51
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$174.33
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$20.77
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder-$93.10
23,730 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 24,335 more positions across 2,367 markets on this day.