Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 84% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 26,864
- No consensus
- 23,869
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$140.35
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$5.63
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder-$51.87
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedYes+$34.30
- SUser7429Last tradedYes+$9.79
- BWaitimcookingLast tradedYes+$100.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- APBot-10Last tradedUp+$57.81
- Aarbfinder2026Last tradedUp+$53.42
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$26.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$101.57
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$2.55
- BronnysLast tradedUp-$55.23
- Called
- Vlad Cristian Breazu
- Won
- Vlad Cristian Breazu
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedRares Teodor Pieleanu-$206.52
- S38791873984189Last tradedVlad Cristian Breazu+$77.53
- AlooppauLast tradedVlad Cristian Breazu+$2.24
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$229.71
- S38791873984189Last tradedYes-$103.82
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$31.99
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Right- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SyoungwhaleLast tradedOver+$114.06
- Sameisgoat11Last tradedOver+$88.63
- Aam100Last tradedUnder-$640.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$42.63
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$1.49
- BDerpyHoovesLast tradedDown+$66.30
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$253.68
- Aus391Last tradedNo-$237.15
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$54.49
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$396.90
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$172.20
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedUnder+$65.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aarbfinder2026Last tradedUp+$46.54
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$23.24
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$1.11
- Called
- NIP.eStar
- Won
- Spacestation Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- BdovetailLast tradedNIP.eStar-$81
- BBlackJacksLast tradedSpacestation Gaming+$65.26
- BAlfabagueraLast tradedNIP.eStar-$52.30
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$60.75
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$47.95
- Bdips.Last tradedNo+$24.58
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$100.71
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$35.37
- BNatoAlfistaLast tradedYes-$67.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aarbfinder2026Last tradedDown+$55.99
- APBot-10Last tradedDown+$13.03
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$8.68
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$129.65
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedNo+$23.19
- Bkiwi.beanLast tradedYes-$138.31
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$71.06
- Szxc368Last tradedUnder+$0.23
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$76.79
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BMegaenganLast tradedYes+$21.44
- BMatGinsaLast tradedYes+$21.27
- BBurly-GrannyLast tradedYes+$20.58
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- Athletics
- Won
- Athletics
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedAthletics+$109.81
- SRN1Last tradedTexas Rangers-$61.62
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedAthletics-$12.50
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$103.20
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$84.15
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedNo+$28
- Called
- CA Paranaense
- Won
- CA Paranaense
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 83%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$52.52
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$21.14
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$10.51
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$3,023.46
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$2,731.45
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$170.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$26.52
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$6.90
- BrdimathLast tradedUp+$46.63
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$38.23
- BneverhackmeLast tradedNo+$28.56
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$27.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$41.58
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$25.09
- BronnysLast tradedUp-$123.33
- Called
- St. Louis City SC
- Won
- St. Louis City SC
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSan Jose Earthquakes-$130.25
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedSt. Louis City SC+$23.06
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedSt. Louis City SC+$12.90
- Called
- Washington Nationals
- Won
- New York Mets
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedWashington Nationals-$180.52
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNew York Mets+$88.89
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedNew York Mets+$85
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BallanznamaLast tradedYes+$19.56
- BfaemohrLast tradedYes+$19.44
- BBurly-GrannyLast tradedYes+$19.21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$7.94
- APontiusPilateLast tradedNo+$28.46
- BneverhackmeLast tradedNo+$41.59
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- A613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes+$99.80
- Atitle1Last tradedYes-$6.57
- Bih82w8Last tradedNo+$0.23
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$639.60
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$424.74
- Sjack.jrLast tradedYes+$80.09
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$101.11
- SWagerWizardLast tradedOver+$6.38
- Awoyaofada888Last tradedOver+$0.05
- Called
- Louisville City FC
- Won
- Orange County SC
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Storta.techLast tradedOver+$631.79
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver+$77.62
- AImFasterLast tradedOver+$57.75
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$288.80
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$55.70
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedYes+$24.75
- Called
- BIG
- Won
- BIG
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SyoungwhaleLast tradedBIG+$87.98
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedBIG-$4.31
- AAisethLast tradedBIG+$3.95
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$34.23
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$20
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$13.47
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$36.16
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$4.19
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$39.90
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$222.57
- ALeLynxMalynxLast tradedNo-$55.03
- A0x87f7…8f45Last tradedYes+$38.64
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$31.77
- SWagerWizardLast tradedOver+$2.88
- Afxwd12345Last tradedOver+$31.39
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedUnder+$68.63
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$24.24
- Szxc368Last tradedUnder+$0.73
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AYoonSeoyeonLast tradedOver-$90.50
- AwhynotchocolateLast tradedUnder+$1.96
- B1reydarLast tradedUnder+$1.97
- Called
- Trabzonspor
- Won
- Trabzonspor
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedTrabzonspor+$44.14
- SLilybaeumLast tradedTrabzonspor+$5.15
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedTrabzonspor+$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedUp+$24.30
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$39.95
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$12.94
- Called
- Kansas City Royals
- Won
- Kansas City Royals
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 87%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedKansas City Royals+$140.56
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedKansas City Royals+$48.92
- Sheatwave0521Last tradedKansas City Royals+$25.56
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$19.56
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$5.56
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedDown-$140.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AplainfolderLast tradedNo+$2.18
- BComfortable-SandwichLast tradedYes-$81.37
- BneverhackmeLast tradedNo+$1.91
23,730 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 24,335 more positions across 2,367 markets on this day.