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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Kai or Speed die to a slime?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 0 - 3 CD Guadalajara?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Fanming Meng vs Adrian Arcon

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Fanming Meng
    Won
    Fanming Meng
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Mac Visser

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Gilles Arnaud Bailly
    Won
    Gilles Arnaud Bailly
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: uust _esports vs Glitchtech Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    uust _esports
    Won
    uust _esports
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Thin-MissLast traded
      uust _esports+$6
    • A
      XDDOOOGXDLast traded
      uust _esports+$14.55
    • B
      vanerojLast traded
      uust _esports+$0.48

  • Counter-Strike: WBT vs EvolupeGG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    WBT
    Won
    WBT
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 2 - 3 CD Guadalajara?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$9.46
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$8.99
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      No+$2.45

  • Will Team Falcons make playoffs?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      noreasapaLast traded
      Yes+$3.90
    • B
      estoiccLast traded
      Yes+$15.03
    • B
      name505Last traded
      Yes+$1.90

  • KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Atlético San Luis (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Orlando City SC
    Won
    Orlando City SC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Orlando City SC+$12.45
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Orlando City SC+$7.06
    • A
      JackenxandLast traded
      Orlando City SC+$0.50

  • KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 13?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gauff vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 23.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 13?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Fermin Tenti vs Jacopo Bilardo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Fermin Tenti
    Won
    Fermin Tenti
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jacopo Bilardo-$109.27
    • S
      ilovetennisLast traded
      Fermin Tenti+$1.16
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Fermin Tenti+$91.24

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$48.02
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Over+$25.73
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over+$5.69

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 13?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: San Diego FC 3 - 0 Club Puebla?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FC Flora 2 - 0 Inter Club d'Escaldes?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: NSÍ Runavík (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Lugano
    Won
    FC Lugano
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Drita vs. Tre Fiori FC: Tre Fiori FC O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 0 - 1 FC Dallas?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 13?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 0 - 0 FC Dallas?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Platense 1 - 2 CD Coquimbo Unido?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$16.54
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$3.05
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$0.42

  • Inter Miami CF vs. Club León FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Assche vs Lajovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Assche
    Won
    Assche
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Hazem SC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$43.75
    • A
      KeF666Last traded
      Yes-$57.45
    • A
      0x0dD9Last traded
      No+$1.05

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Dinamo City (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Dinamo City
    Won
    FC Dinamo City
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      FK Auda-$24.97
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      FC Dinamo City+$10.16
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      FC Dinamo City+$3.68

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Jan Chlodnicki vs Jakub Solarski

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Jan Chlodnicki
    Won
    Jakub Solarski
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 12?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      KirilliLast traded
      No+$5.03
    • B
      Rin2xLast traded
      No+$2.60
    • B
      Krejza68Last traded
      No+$1.95

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 13?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 20,036 more positions across 1,749 markets on this day.

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