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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 12?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Heart of Midlothian FC
    Won
    Heart of Midlothian FC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Sport Lisboa e Benfica-$73.09
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Heart of Midlothian FC+$55.56
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Heart of Midlothian FC+$75.89

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 1 - 1 CD Guadalajara?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$175.99
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$24.28
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$6.47

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Tyler Bowers vs Leo Vithoontien

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Leo Vithoontien
    Won
    Tyler Bowers
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Kristijan Juhas vs Dusan Obradovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dusan Obradovic
    Won
    Dusan Obradovic
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Dusan Obradovic+$100.70
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Kristijan Juhas-$51.53
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Dusan Obradovic+$6.14

  • Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis: Orlando City SC O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Orlando City SC 2 - 1 Atlético San Luis?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shelbourne FC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Ferencvárosi TC
    Won
    Ferencvárosi TC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Ferencvárosi TC+$34.30
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Ferencvárosi TC+$7.04
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Ferencvárosi TC+$5.85

  • Exact Score: KF Víkingur 3 - 0 FC Thun?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chia Yi Tsao vs Yushan Shao

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Chia Yi Tsao
    Won
    Yushan Shao
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chia Yi Tsao-$230.97
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Chia Yi Tsao+$8.59
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Yushan Shao+$0.74

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Los Angeles FC 0 - 0 Querétaro FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Benched gods
    Won
    Benched gods
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 13?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Drita vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Andijon vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Páfos FC 2 - 3 FC Red Bull Salzburg?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$31.29
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$12.67
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      No+$0.05

  • Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 0 - 0 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$5.06
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1.61
    • A
      fxwd12345Last traded
      No+$35.70

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: RSC Anderlecht 1 - 0 PAOK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs FaZe Up Next - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Teletubisie
    Won
    Teletubisie
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Shelbourne FC 1 - 1 AFC Ajax?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$15.63
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$12.51
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$11.90

  • Shelbourne FC vs. AFC Ajax: Team to Advance

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Shelbourne FC
    Won
    AFC Ajax
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Shelbourne FC-$3.63
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Shelbourne FC-$2.41
    • A
      trampecLast traded
      AFC Ajax+$48.45

  • Will Brad Kohler win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: MTX vs DNK (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MTX
    Won
    MTX
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Turku Men: Amit Vales vs Demetris Azoidis

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Demetris Azoidis
    Won
    Amit Vales
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: KF Víkingur 0 - 2 FC Thun?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$41.37
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$4.09
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$3.89

  • Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 0 - 1 FK Dynamo Kyiv?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Marta Lombardini vs Alexandra Irina Anghel

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Marta Lombardini
    Won
    Marta Lombardini
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alexandra Irina Anghel+$21.62
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Marta Lombardini+$14.92
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Marta Lombardini+$2.90

  • Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs Gentle Mates GC - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Gentle Mates GC
    Won
    Gentle Mates GC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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