Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 88% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 13,450
- No consensus
- 11,878
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$728.21
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$666.36
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$199.07
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$118.15
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$57.28
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedYes-$37.99
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$101,685.67
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedOver+$26,583.85
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$3,848.83
- Called
- Houston Astros
- Won
- Houston Astros
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHouston Astros+$7,699.01
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedHouston Astros+$311.90
- S38791873984189Last tradedSan Francisco Giants-$165
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$9,072.77
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$6,367.05
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$1,201.85
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$1,050.92
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$412.95
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$100.84
- Called
- AC Sparta Praha
- Won
- Olympique Lyonnais
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOlympique Lyonnais+$2,858.62
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedAC Sparta Praha-$2,274.48
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOlympique Lyonnais+$1,805.28
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 92%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$445.50
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$146.72
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$26.36
- Called
- mCon esports
- Won
- Frites Esports Club
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbloodmasterLast tradedFrites Esports Club+$1,810.21
- S38791873984189Last tradedmCon esports-$307.77
- SyoungwhaleLast tradedmCon esports-$95.51
- Called
- Mindfreak
- Won
- Mindfreak
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMindfreak+$195.59
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedRooster+$34.09
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedMindfreak+$30
- Called
- L Guide Gaming
- Won
- L Guide Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlamboyant-WarmingLast tradedL Guide Gaming+$294.02
- Sam100Last tradedL Guide Gaming+$116.60
- SbloodmasterLast tradedUwinks-$70.99
- Called
- Fenerbahçe SK
- Won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedFenerbahçe SK-$1,033.72
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedSK Puntigamer Sturm Graz+$434.99
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedFenerbahçe SK-$386.87
- Called
- Forsaken
- Won
- Forsaken
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedForsaken+$474.71
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedForsaken+$409.06
- Sigot50kLast tradedLodis-$405.02
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$1,166.83
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$984.41
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$231.84
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedOver+$385.79
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder-$139.58
- SwapolLast tradedUnder-$107.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$332.84
- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown-$185.50
- AEn111006Last tradedUp+$100.59
- Called
- Grêmio Esports
- Won
- Isurus
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SeanvanezygvLast tradedGrêmio Esports-$110.98
- SgonnachangelaterLast tradedGrêmio Esports-$79.75
- SAbsingLast tradedGrêmio Esports-$41.39
- Called
- Atlanta Dream
- Won
- Toronto Tempo
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SQuentinChenLast tradedToronto Tempo+$4,675.20
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAtlanta Dream-$2,782.29
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedToronto Tempo+$2,766.56
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$489.45
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder+$296.29
- SsentrioLast tradedOver-$105.58
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$195.22
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$161.96
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver-$57.74
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$1,677.24
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$1,292.63
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$257.76
- Called
- NightBirds
- Won
- NightBirds
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedOnion Team-$818.83
- SbloodmasterLast tradedNightBirds+$305.82
- Smadoka123Last tradedNightBirds+$1.08
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$673.88
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes-$580.34
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$517.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$533.39
- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown+$308.22
- AEn111006Last tradedUp-$314.57
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$4,303.58
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder-$1,692.99
- SsentrioLast tradedUnder-$475.16
- Called
- United Arab Emirates
- Won
- United Arab Emirates
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedCanada-$165.20
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedUnited Arab Emirates+$102.92
- SmishipolisLast tradedCanada-$94.85
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 10?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SParz1vaILast tradedNo+$91.03
- SAnjunLast tradedNo+$14.11
- AcatalanpathsLast tradedNo+$28.17
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 72%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$822.81
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$500.71
- SFlamboyant-WarmingLast tradedOver+$47.29
- Called
- PFK Levski Sofia
- Won
- PFK Levski Sofia
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedPFK Levski Sofia+$99.20
- SLeLynxMalynxLast tradedQairat FK-$66.69
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedPFK Levski Sofia+$30.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SspendingmoneyLast tradedYes+$1,288.79
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$770.14
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$94.63
- Called
- Swiatek
- Won
- Swiatek
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBagwell306Last tradedSwiatek+$2,972.93
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedSwiatek+$35.81
- SmishipolisLast tradedShnaider-$35.01
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$529.23
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$462.05
- SsentrioLast tradedNo+$213.92
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$1,194.32
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$185.97
- SSmallcoinsLast tradedUnder+$174.82
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCannaeLast tradedNo+$216.99
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$126.54
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$122.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$763
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$428.63
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedNo+$155.65
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 61%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$776.47
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$243.01
- SRN1Last tradedYes+$140.48
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$794.03
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$315
- SGC-PLast tradedYes-$175.94
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SEuanLast tradedNo+$135.24
- AplainfolderLast tradedNo+$230.28
- AaHjCzLast tradedNo+$77.12
- Called
- Nakashima
- Won
- Nakashima
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedDarderi+$21.20
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNakashima+$18.83
- SRock.SanLast tradedNakashima+$2.70
- Called
- New York Mets
- Won
- New York Mets
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedAtlanta Braves-$1,420.20
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNew York Mets-$692.67
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAtlanta Braves-$503.82
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$397.27
- AshiifooLast tradedYes-$156.09
- AplainfolderLast tradedNo+$5.27
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$2,962.95
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$867.53
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$434.66
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs
Right- Called
- paiN Academy
- Won
- paiN Academy
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedpaiN Academy+$273.49
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedQUINTESSÊNCIA-$121.17
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedpaiN Academy+$79.81
- Called
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava
- Won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedŠK Slovan Bratislava+$1,918.50
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedŠK Slovan Bratislava+$192.01
- SLilybaeumLast tradedŠK Slovan Bratislava+$142.37
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$78.48
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$64.30
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$312.63
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$402.79
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo-$393.20
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedNo-$310.56
- Called
- Seattle Storm
- Won
- Seattle Storm
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSeattle Storm+$1,083.40
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedSeattle Storm+$1,062.95
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedSeattle Storm+$187.30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$97.80
- BfghsrthrhrshrsthLast tradedYes-$100
- BRickRockRickLast tradedYes-$87.64
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AplainfolderLast tradedNo+$49.47
- AHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$31.97
- APPMTLast tradedYes-$5.98
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 0%
11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 11,438 more positions across 1,274 markets on this day.