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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
1,682 right489 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,987

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by falling?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Parz1vaILast traded
      Yes+$31.07
    • A
      JonnyALast traded
      Yes+$6.10
    • A
      CarLast traded
      Yes+$1.30

  • SK Brann Kvinner vs. PAOK WF: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara vs. FK Baltika Kaliningrad: PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Columbus Crew 3 - 1 CF Pachuca?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$5.05
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      No+$0.14
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Yes-$43.30

  • Will NK Rudeš vs. NK Osijek end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valencia CF vs. Newcastle United: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gollazaLast traded
      Yes-$24.29
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Yes+$0.17
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      No-$13.95

  • Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$11.88
    • A
      0xjamesLast traded
      Over+$25.90
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Over+$0.10

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 8?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 8?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Egozic86Last traded
      Yes+$30.85
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Yes+$0.60
    • B
      FXCLast traded
      Yes+$5

  • Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Under+$122.79
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Over-$86.84
    • A
      EmethodLast traded
      Under+$0.12

  • Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Pohang Steelers FC
    Won
    Pohang Steelers FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Pohang Steelers FC+$34.13
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Pohang Steelers FC+$3.11
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Pohang Steelers FC-$1.17

  • Bromley FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CS Cartaginés vs. Sporting FC: Sporting FC O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Thailand vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will John Curtis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CD Universidad Católica 0 - 0 CD Cobresal?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$53.17
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$43.91
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Yes-$25.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$50.79
    • B
      SARKANLast traded
      Down+$70.57
    • B
      psccoLast traded
      Down+$14.65

  • ITF Astana: Edda Mamedova vs Irem Kurt

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Edda Mamedova
    Won
    Edda Mamedova
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      thatsabing0Last traded
      Edda Mamedova+$0.18
    • A
      NeedForDeadLast traded
      Edda Mamedova+$29.78
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Edda Mamedova+$4.37

  • Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Avispa Fukuoka O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Peterborough United FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$74.41
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Under+$2.56
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over-$45.34

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 8?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Stoke City FC
    Won
    Stoke City FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Stoke City FC+$801.20
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Stoke City FC+$0.18
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Oldham Athletic AFC-$770.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bradford City AFC vs. Rochdale AFC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 7?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 8?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kisvarda FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Angers SCO vs. FC Lorient: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Northampton Town FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Leicester City FC
    Won
    Leicester City FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Leicester City FC+$17.68
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Leicester City FC+$9.12
    • B
      MarlaSinger1999Last traded
      Leicester City FC+$2.50

  • Burnley FC vs. Notts County FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$96.51
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$67.32
    • A
      wesolyjasiuLast traded
      Under+$0.06

  • Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Tukums 2000/TSS win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CS Cartaginés vs. Sporting FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 7?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: VfL Osnabrück (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    1. FC Heidenheim 1846
    Won
    1. FC Heidenheim 1846
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Legal-Knot-NeglectLast traded
      1. FC Heidenheim 1846+$19.09
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      1. FC Heidenheim 1846+$0.96
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      VfL Osnabrück-$48.10

  • ITF Southaven: Jack Anthrop vs Timo Legout

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Timo Legout
    Won
    Timo Legout
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Timo Legout+$13.94
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Timo Legout+$4.45
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Timo Legout+$9.52

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 7?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Dalian Yingbo FC 0 - 1 Liaoning Tieren FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$13.70
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$8.56
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      No+$5

  • Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs DUSTY (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 2

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fluxo W7M
    Won
    Fluxo W7M
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Fluxo W7M+$16.01
    • B
      1234abLast traded
      Fluxo W7M+$8.75
    • B
      102catsLast traded
      DUSTY+$2.36

  • Exact Score: Sagan Tosu 1 - 0 Ventforet Kōfu?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Charlotte FC vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$17.74
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under+$7.96
    • A
      Cactus-001Last traded
      Under+$0.06

  • Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Phantom Academy - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Phantom Academy
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 7?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

20,884 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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