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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
1,682 right489 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,987

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 8?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 7?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 0 Manchester United?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$70.95
    • A
      dv-pmLast traded
      Yes-$157.28
    • A
      dizzyLast traded
      No+$150.79

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 2 - 2 CA Aldosivi?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$652.32
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$436.63
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      No+$4.51

  • Metro Bank One Day Cup Women League 2: Gloucestershire Women vs Sussex Women

    Wrong

    Cricket

    Called
    Sussex Women
    Won
    Gloucestershire Women
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Sussex Women-$83.18
    • S
      SATHISHRKOLast traded
      Gloucestershire Women+$33.68
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Sussex Women-$15.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Orgryte IS 2 - 1 AIK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Stockport County FC vs. Doncaster Rovers FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Yankees
    Won
    Atlanta Braves
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      New York Yankees-$65.65
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      New York Yankees-$48.81
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Atlanta Braves+$32.09

  • Will Milton Keynes Dons FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Orgryte IS vs. AIK: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to Score in First Half

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Cambridge United FC 2 - 0 Barnet FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF Leipzig: Caijsa Hennemann vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Irene Burillo Escorihuela
    Won
    Irene Burillo Escorihuela
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Irene Burillo Escorihuela+$42.88
    • A
      clownlyLast traded
      Irene Burillo Escorihuela+$56
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Irene Burillo Escorihuela+$2

  • Exact Score: Tigres de la UANL 2 - 1 Minnesota United FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will ESTAC Troyes win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$82.74
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      No+$1
    • A
      0x5317…9a3bLast traded
      No+$21.39

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      EmethodLast traded
      Over+$2.21
    • B
      zhengzh09Last traded
      Over+$47
    • B
      frryrrLast traded
      Over+$0.90

  • Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Metizport
    Won
    Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: SV Darmstadt 98 (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Holstein Kiel
    Won
    Holstein Kiel
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF Curtea de Arges: Giannicola Misasi vs Gabriel Ghetu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Giannicola Misasi
    Won
    Giannicola Misasi
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Gabriel Ghetu-$51.42
    • S
      thatsabing0Last traded
      Giannicola Misasi+$0.50
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Giannicola Misasi+$61.75

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 8?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Queens Park Rangers FC 0 - 2 Millwall FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      alm3Last traded
      No+$23.23
    • B
      alm-1Last traded
      No+$11.80
    • B
      ALM4Last traded
      No+$8.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Down-$17.82
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$30.31
    • B
      gimozziLast traded
      Down-$5.25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ECHO vs OG - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ECHO
    Won
    ECHO
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boluspor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu: Manisa Futbol Kulubu O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AFC Wimbledon vs. Newport County AFC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 8?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Won
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Malmö FF-$64.55
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Eintracht Frankfurt+$41.42
    • A
      dekadurabolinLast traded
      Eintracht Frankfurt+$55.62

  • Will CA Juventud de Las Piedras win on 2026-08-07?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ōita Trinita vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Over-$63.56
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under+$16.18
    • B
      frryrrLast traded
      Under+$5.40

  • Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

20,884 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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