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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
1,682 right489 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,987

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 7?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AJ Auxerre vs. ESTAC Troyes: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Philippines win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$88.25
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$21.96
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$8.30

  • Standard Liege vs. Cercle Brugge: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$35.43
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$2.09
    • A
      SecondhandvinylLast traded
      Under+$16.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Qingdao Hainiu FC
    Won
    Qingdao Hainiu FC
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Shanghai Shenhua FC-$156.63
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Qingdao Hainiu FC-$8.41
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Qingdao Hainiu FC+$1

  • Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Tokushima Vortis: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Tokushima Vortis end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Queens Park Rangers FC 1 - 1 Millwall FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$475.39
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$41.44
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Yes+$0.43

  • Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Jeju SK FC
    Won
    Jeju SK FC
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$32.26
    • A
      c4acapLast traded
      Down+$7
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down+$4.65

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Yes-$104.95
    • A
      Mr.MachinesLast traded
      Yes-$83.82
    • B
      SG-1Last traded
      No+$87.82

  • LDU Quito vs. CSD Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      retarbLast traded
      Over+$62.33
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$4.84
    • B
      kiwi.beanLast traded
      Under-$78.46

  • Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 7?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fleetwood Town FC vs. Chesterfield FC: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$48.79
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under+$509.14
    • B
      XYZX6688Last traded
      Over-$411.69

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Stoke City FC vs. Oldham Athletic AFC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$144.59
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Under+$16.06
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$7.53

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Júbilo Iwata vs. Blaublitz Akita: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŽNK SFK 2000 Sarajevo vs. Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg: O/U 3.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Aldosivi leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers-$390.03
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$289.64
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$130.07

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$14.31
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      No+$2.74
    • B
      mr-sarkozyLast traded
      No+$54.60

  • Exact Score: Dalian Yingbo FC 0 - 2 Liaoning Tieren FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Liquid
    Won
    Team Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$39.11
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Up+$3.73
    • A
      c4acapLast traded
      Up+$2.31

  • Will Notts County FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 8?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

20,884 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 13,050 more positions across 1,721 markets on this day.

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