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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
1,682 right489 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,987

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Tien vs Paul

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tien
    Won
    Tien
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will NJ/NY Gotham FC vs. San Diego Wave FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tottenham Hotspur vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$788.47
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$191.27
    • A
      dv-pmLast traded
      Yes+$743.75

  • Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Milwaukee Brewers+$1.51
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Minnesota Twins-$722.93
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Milwaukee Brewers+$24.67

  • Burnley FC vs. Notts County FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$187.12
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$128.86
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$78.76

  • Orgryte IS vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CA Tigre
    Won
    CA Tigre
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      CA Tigre+$11.95
    • A
      Egozic86Last traded
      CA Tigre+$53.92
    • A
      poly0xd41Last traded
      CA Tigre+$3.30

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      AbsingLast traded
      Under-$41.52
    • S
      DonkooLast traded
      Under-$36.03
    • S
      funfactsLast traded
      Over+$35.20

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Malaysia win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$383.10
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes+$340.84
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$165.10

  • Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Kataller Toyama: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$678.44
    • A
      sntoloLast traded
      Over+$41.93
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Under-$13.86

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      JontheoneLast traded
      Up-$350.02
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$126.48
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down+$4.65

  • Will Gornik Zabrze win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chelsea FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$100.94
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$90.58
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$28.34

  • Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Miami Marlins+$123
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$24.05
    • S
      rushiyaLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$1.43

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF Southaven: Clement Chidekh vs Timo Legout

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Timo Legout
    Won
    Timo Legout
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boluspor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$585.76
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$95.49
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$15.40

  • Will Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF Koksijde: Barbora Palicova vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Barbora Palicova
    Won
    Barbora Palicova
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Barbora Palicova+$198.44
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Barbora Palicova+$4.33
    • B
      mariglianoLast traded
      Barbora Palicova+$28.13

  • Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Darderi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Borges
    Won
    Borges
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Darderi-$326.87
    • A
      eblomixerLast traded
      Borges+$101.96
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Borges+$1.08

  • Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$138.61
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$64.92
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No+$39.51

  • Will Karlsruher SC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$192.22
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$150.49
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No+$6.41

  • Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$314.84
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$284.06
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$250.39

  • Charlotte FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 17.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Townsend (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Townsend
    Won
    Townsend
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Osters IF win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$432.81
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$253.47
    • A
      dv-pmLast traded
      No+$855.38

  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Juárez: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sagan Tosu vs. Ventforet Kōfu end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AFC Fylde win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 8?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AZ vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Watford FC vs. Crawley Town FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

20,884 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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