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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,493 right657 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,008

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$177.66
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$174.87
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Up-$168.77

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$299.83
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$101.52
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$83.54

  • New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    New York Mets
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates-$3,540.22
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      New York Mets+$1,920.38
    • S
      curieLast traded
      New York Mets+$1,234.43

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Terence Atmane
    Won
    Jakub Mensik
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Fluxo W7M
    Won
    Vivo Keyd Stars
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Naomi Osaka
    Won
    Naomi Osaka
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Elise Mertens-$2,733.72
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Elise Mertens-$1,865.21
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Naomi Osaka-$1,333.97

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$1,165.48
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$780.52
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down-$188.88

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$227.90
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$198.01
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Up+$141.75

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will PSV win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$3,618.02
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1,398.06
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$1,396.33

  • Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Los Angeles Angels
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Miami Marlins-$7,807.10
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$5,440.40
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Miami Marlins-$1,739.11

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Carol Foro
    Won
    Carol Foro
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Talvez10Last traded
      Gigi Canuto-$69,123.18
    • S
      GamblingOdysseyLast traded
      Gigi Canuto-$7,446
    • S
      elmcap2Last traded
      Carol Foro+$1,599.99

  • Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-07?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Francisco Giants
    Won
    San Francisco Giants
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Detroit Tigers-$8,350.66
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      San Francisco Giants+$3,926.65
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      San Francisco Giants+$2,127.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Eala

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexandra Eala
    Won
    Alexandra Eala
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Alexandra Eala-$2,290.08
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Alexandra Eala+$1,887.32
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Caty McNally-$1,760.69

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Won
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FURIA Esports
    Won
    FURIA Esports
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      rwoLast traded
      Up-$273.27
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down+$120.34
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$91.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      rwoLast traded
      Up+$274.18
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down-$169.61
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$79.74

  • UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

    Wrong

    MMA

    Called
    Bruno Lopes
    Won
    Diyar Nurgozhay
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$272.42
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$177.80
    • S
      gningdLast traded
      Down+$167.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Up+$223.09
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$178
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Down-$126.19

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

19,924 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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