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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
1,682 right489 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,987

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$7
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$4.45
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1.90
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$3,216.66
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$558.53
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$72.03
  • Tennis

    Called
    Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
    Won
    Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves+$1.86
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves+$25.31
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves+$10.10
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Up+$362.38
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Down-$54.05
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$10.11
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$65.04
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$21.62
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$15.82
  • Esports

    Called
    T1
    Won
    T1
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 8?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      Over-$39.75
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Under+$0.90
    • A
      sslavagaLast traded
      Under+$168.60
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$63.66
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down+$44.72
    • B
      gta6wenLast traded
      Up-$130.64
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$233.30
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$138.01
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$93.41
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    STATE
    Won
    STATE
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$200
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$175.90
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$173.86
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      WagerWizardLast traded
      Over+$54.94
    • S
      polika72Last traded
      Over+$14.45
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$10.19
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$192.24
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Up-$56.09
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Up-$53.60
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Down-$58.69
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down-$36.95
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$30.90
  • Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 8?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$169.26
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$95.83
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Under-$78.44
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    K27
    Won
    K27
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$267.20
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$48.13
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      No+$0.22
  • Esports

    Called
    Spirit Academy
    Won
    Spirit Academy
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    FC Anyang
    Won
    FC Anyang
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    San Francisco Giants
    Won
    San Francisco Giants
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      San Francisco Giants+$22,221.67
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Detroit Tigers-$2,335.48
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      San Francisco Giants+$59.82
  • Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    Won
    FK Novi Pazar
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

20,884 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 13,050 more positions across 1,721 markets on this day.