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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
1,682 right489 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,987

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$131.40
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Up+$112.42
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Up+$7.80

  • Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    CYBERSHOKE Esports
    Won
    CYBERSHOKE Esports
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Corrupt-HornLast traded
      Over+$144.02
    • S
      gaclfzLast traded
      Over+$32.06
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Under-$53.61

  • VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$314.31
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Under+$1.13
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Over-$415.74

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Up-$186.93
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Down+$134.64
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$3.90

  • ITF Leipzig: Ida Wobker vs Aneta Laboutkova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ida Wobker
    Won
    Ida Wobker
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UlamTriXLast traded
      Ida Wobker+$14.77
    • S
      thatsabing0Last traded
      Ida Wobker+$5.48
    • S
      ilovetennisLast traded
      Ida Wobker+$1.93

  • Will Clermont Foot 63 win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$237.28
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$18.75
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      No+$0.12

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Up-$116.95
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down+$255.89
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$35.25

  • Valencia CF vs. Newcastle United: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Charlotte FC 2 - 1 Atlas FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$158.95
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$95.53
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$2.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$245.08
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Down-$108.12
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Down-$75.51

  • AZ vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$425.36
    • S
      WagerWizardLast traded
      Over+$14.06
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Under-$256.94

  • CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$385.69
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$93.60
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      No-$403.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Paris FC vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$50.43
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$25.74
    • S
      lukibazdonauki754Last traded
      Yes+$1.06

  • Will Jiangxi Dingnan United win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs VP.Prodigy - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Phantom Academy
    Won
    Phantom Academy
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Yankees
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Tucumán vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Corrupt-HornLast traded
      Over+$198.80
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$167.23
    • S
      matsukaLast traded
      Over+$81.36

  • Chelsea FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Down-$26.77
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$14.99
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Up+$5.59

  • Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?

    No consensus

    Geopolitics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      HerrieDavisLast traded
      Yes-$466.47
    • A
      thoodrLast traded
      No+$25.12
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      Yes+$6.01

  • Exact Score: Charlotte FC 1 - 1 Atlas FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$43.06
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$41.20
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$33.41

  • Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    VfL Osnabrück
    Won
    VfL Osnabrück
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      1. FC Heidenheim 1846-$739.93
    • S
      zhiberLast traded
      VfL Osnabrück+$339.16
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      VfL Osnabrück+$50.69

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$347.51
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Up+$90.94
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Down-$36.05

  • Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    San Diego Padres
    Won
    Houston Astros
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      San Diego Padres-$748.45
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Houston Astros+$546.94
    • S
      curieLast traded
      San Diego Padres-$135.76

  • Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will San Diego Wave FC win on 2026-08-07?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Angels
    Won
    Los Angeles Angels
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      Los Angeles Angels+$523.31
    • S
      0xheavy888Last traded
      Los Angeles Angels+$160
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Los Angeles Angels+$134.96

  • Spread: Manisa Futbol Kulubu (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Boluspor
    Won
    Boluspor
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Manisa Futbol Kulubu-$739.07
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      Boluspor+$130.72
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Boluspor+$110.52

  • Exact Score: Dalian Yingbo FC 3 - 0 Liaoning Tieren FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$180.19
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$5.96
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$4.04

  • Columbus Crew leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Gabriela Knutson

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Carol Young Suh Lee
    Won
    Carol Young Suh Lee
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Carol Young Suh Lee+$528.28
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Carol Young Suh Lee+$462.50
    • S
      BillBenter2026Last traded
      Carol Young Suh Lee+$103.19

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Over+$2,674.36
    • S
      ForAndWithYouLast traded
      Over+$1,697.11
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Under-$489.51

  • Valorant: A Team vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    A Team
    Won
    A Team
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      oheheLast traded
      A Team+$2,958.41
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      A Team+$59.60
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      A Team+$0.21

  • Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Augsburg vs. Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
    Won
    Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles+$2,127.32
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles+$812.83
    • S
      heatwave0521Last traded
      Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles+$73.46

  • Fleetwood Town FC vs. Chesterfield FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,685.19
    • S
      UlamTriXLast traded
      No+$42.13
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      No+$383.03

  • Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    FC Juárez
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

20,884 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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