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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
1,682 right489 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,987

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will BFC Daugavpils win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will RKS Radomiak Radom win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 1. FC Cologne win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No-$386.56
    • S
      EuanLast traded
      Yes+$364.16
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Yes+$0.22

  • Burton Albion FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 8?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Brute (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Brute
    Won
    Brute
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Qingdao Hainiu FC
    Won
    Qingdao Hainiu FC
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Barnsley FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Global Esports vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Global Esports
    Won
    Global Esports
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Global Esports+$63.35
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Global Esports+$31.80
    • A
      ZZT111Last traded
      ZETA DIVISION-$80.68

  • Valorant: DRX vs T1 - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    T1
    Won
    T1
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$227.90
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Up+$141.75
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Up+$51.20

  • Will Myanmar win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      oudine2Last traded
      Yes-$437.21
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$418.95
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$110.10

  • Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    8%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tommy Paul Win ATP Montreal

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Up+$99.17
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Up+$59.62
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$40.43

  • Rotherham United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down+$139.56
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$110.54
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Up-$76.19

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 7?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Lausanne-Sport win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Standard Liege vs. Cercle Brugge: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Over+$248.12
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$105.52
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over+$1.61

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Down-$169.61
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$78.02
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Down-$55.07

  • Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ODDIK Academy - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Procyon Gaming
    Won
    Procyon Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Won
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      forecastication4Last traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers+$445.74
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks-$106.24
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers+$56.29

  • Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • O/U 2.5 Rounds

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Modena FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      No+$3.14
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      No-$7,401.79
    • A
      abhionpolyLast traded
      Yes-$1,958.34

  • Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Washington Mystics
    Won
    Washington Mystics
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      hi774cLast traded
      Washington Mystics+$4,443.34
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Washington Mystics+$229.15
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Washington Mystics+$140.80

  • Kostyuk vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Athletics
    Won
    Athletics
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Athletics+$2,190.47
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Athletics+$682.93
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      Athletics+$396.09

  • TSV Hartberg vs. SK Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Sangal vs JiJieHao - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    JiJieHao
    Won
    JiJieHao
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,959.72
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Over-$428.91
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over-$121.87

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 162.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Under-$256.25
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under-$128.41
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Over+$112.37

  • Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FTS
    Won
    FTS
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

20,884 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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