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Pick of the Day: Saturday, September 12, 2026

The Pick of the Day for Saturday, September 12, 2026: the side the sharp money backed, the wallets behind that side, and the result.

Picks for Saturday, September 12, 2026

6 picks

Pick 1 of 6: US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina

Free
Polymarket logo
US Open WTA
Final
Aryna Sabalenka
472
1
Elena Rybakina
656
2
Loss

Aryna Sabalenka to win

Price

57.5c

Performance
Units -1.00u
CLV +1.7%
Who’s on it
one8tyfiveSwin rate 63%58,500sharesferrariChampions2026Swin rate 48%45,102.5sharesNM-PSwin rate 50%1,402.9shares0x5bc3…7a59Awin rate 44%1,282.1shares
Pan9XAwin rate 81%10.5sharesmariglianoAwin rate 78%9.1sharesEulhunterAwin rate 55%6.3shares38791873984189Awin rate 69%6shares
doadorAwin rate 58%5sharesdentleightadmanAwin rate 70%3.6sharesCarlos10Bwin rate 46%1,724.1shareshoticecubeBwin rate 73%360shares
believeromeoBwin rate 75%51.7sharesoxbusBwin rate Not enough data0.9shares
Why

Profitable wallets hold Aryna Sabalenka, led by a grade-S trader.

Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 1 of 6

Pick 2 of 6: 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt

Polymarket logo
Bundesliga
MainzRecord 1-1-1
1
vs
FrankfurtRecord 1-1-1
3
Win

1. FSV Mainz 05 (No)

Price

46.5c

Performance
Units +1.15u
CLV -2.2%
Who’s on it
VeryLucky888Swin rate 61%16,522.9sharesFlaznorpSwin rate 61%9,813.1sharesGC-PSwin rate 61%6,864.8sharesferrariChampions2026Swin rate 49%6,749shares
0xa697…59d5Swin rate 58%2,227.6sharesSnakeBallSwin rate 63%1,345shareswapolSwin rate 74%6.9sharesCannaeAwin rate 75%11,080.6shares
NM-PAwin rate 59%6,216.4sharessentrioAwin rate 62%5,995.5sharesKnightDasCapitalAwin rate 53%4,000sharestnlAwin rate 54%2,500shares
0x5811…0976Awin rate 45%1,869.1sharesk-maniacAwin rate 51%1,522shares38791873984189Awin rate 73%1,112.6sharesLeLynxMalynxAwin rate 67%185shares
MeowtchiAwin rate 57%171.7sharesPan9XAwin rate 87%84sharesgaramvadapav3Awin rate 53%77.3sharesUlamTriXAwin rate 52%60shares
LitquidPMAwin rate 56%30sharesjmp123Awin rate 91%20sharespiepiAwin rate 54%15.2sharesSharkbetX-comAwin rate 41%10shares
doadorAwin rate 68%5sharesdentleightadmanAwin rate 48%3.8shares0xfb07…e2ccBwin rate 56%15,000shares0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3Bwin rate 58%6,026.7shares
AlphaBetaGamma2357Bwin rate 54%4,000sharesFragMalDenRalleBwin rate 56%2,000sharesOddstormBwin rate 53%1,000sharesno1dodgersfanBwin rate 59%858.7shares
crispy-avocadoBwin rate 28%500sharessbsignerBwin rate 56%354.3shares

$49,712 across 34 wallets positioned at selection

Why

Profitable wallets hold 1. FSV Mainz 05 (No), led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
1. FSV Mainz 05 (No)
Sharp %
94.2%
Market %
46.5%
Consensus edge
+47.7%
Traders
34
Sharp $
$49,712
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 2 of 6

Pick 3 of 6: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07

Polymarket logo
Bundesliga
DortmundRecord 3-0-0
3
vs
SC Paderborn 07Record 0-1-2
0
Win

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win

Price

76.5c

Performance
Units +0.31u
CLV +0.0%
Who’s on it
0x2c33…0563Swin rate 65%52,257.1sharesGC-PSwin rate 61%2,771.6sharesFlaznorpSwin rate 61%2,764.9sharesVeryLucky888Swin rate 61%858shares
sentrioAwin rate 62%5,998.3sharesNM-PAwin rate 59%2,650.5sharesUndisputaAwin rate 64%1,346.7shares38791873984189Awin rate 73%1,072shares
emacronAwin rate 57%1,000sharesKnightDasCapitalAwin rate 53%1,000sharesFuentes31Awin rate 43%974sharesJAMJAMJAM4Awin rate 58%786shares
Pan9XAwin rate 87%70sharesStefncAwin rate 81%25sharesLeLynxMalynxAwin rate 67%23shares0x076d…8d4cAwin rate 53%14.5shares
dentleightadmanAwin rate 48%2.5sharesRunner109Bwin rate 61%8,876shares0x5016…1eebBwin rate 68%641shareskoninginhetuniverseBwin rate 75%10shares

$63,603 across 20 wallets positioned at selection

Why

Profitable wallets hold BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
Sharp %
79.1%
Market %
76.5%
Consensus edge
+2.6%
Traders
20
Sharp $
$63,603
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 3 of 6

Pick 4 of 6: Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Polymarket logo
LaLiga
Real Madrid CFRecord 4-0-1
4
vs
Rayo Vallecano de MadridRecord 1-1-3
1
Win

O/U 3.5 (Over)

Price

57.5c

Performance
Units +0.74u
CLV -1.7%
Who’s on it
ferrariChampions2026Swin rate 49%27,322.1sharesFlaznorpSwin rate 61%5,908.4shareswapolSwin rate 74%512sharesVeryLucky888Swin rate 61%287.2shares
SnakeBallSwin rate 63%78.5sharese46m3Swin rate 32%20sharessentrioAwin rate 62%1,468.5sharesemacronAwin rate 57%901.4shares
dafgujAwin rate 37%369.9sharesLeLynxMalynxAwin rate 67%25.8sharesPan9XAwin rate 87%15shares0x076d…8d4cAwin rate 53%10.1shares
piepiAwin rate 54%8.5sharesdentleightadmanAwin rate 48%1.8shares

$21,234 across 14 wallets positioned at selection

Why

Profitable wallets hold O/U 3.5 (Over), led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
O/U 3.5 (Over)
Sharp %
84.8%
Market %
57.5%
Consensus edge
+27.3%
Traders
14
Sharp $
$21,234
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 4 of 6

Pick 5 of 6: Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC

Polymarket logo
Premier League
SunderlandRecord 1-1-2
0
vs
ArsenalRecord 4-0-0
2
Win

Arsenal FC to win

Price

62.5c

Performance
Units +0.60u
CLV -4.8%
Who’s on it
GC-PSwin rate 61%2,081.4sharesNM-PSwin rate 59%1,933.1shares2855555A48ee7ec2e67272701651BFe77034eBE8Swin rate 68%86.2sharesJAMJAMJAM4Awin rate 58%6,062shares
sentrioAwin rate 62%4,619.8sharestimebrotimeAwin rate 67%1,587.3shares0x5811…0976Awin rate 45%1,076.7shares38791873984189Awin rate 73%1,076.5shares
LeBronJamesBondAwin rate 75%458.3sharesPan9XAwin rate 87%246sharescigarettesAwin rate 42%200sharesLeLynxMalynxAwin rate 67%59shares
leCommissaireAwin rate 48%50sharesLitquidPMAwin rate 56%30sharesBalancedmindAwin rate 59%10.5shareskostyatechAwin rate 76%9shares
mariglianoAwin rate 54%3.2sharesJsramBwin rate 53%189,286.4sharesptrck7Bwin rate 64%127,966.1sharesbredxiaoBwin rate 0%30,000shares
AnonymousUsernameBwin rate 47%16,409shares95deBwin rate 63%10,000shareswhiskyyBwin rate 50%9,106.7shares0xc4c1…6b32Bwin rate 54%4,838.7shares
Nevar-655Bwin rate 46%3,225.8sharesWristonyBwin rate 54%1,564shares3musketeersBwin rate 56%1,500sharesTest.1Bwin rate 58%1,000shares
KsDf5dCsBwin rate 62%905.9shares0x5016…1eebBwin rate 68%806.5sharesjohnny-guitarBwin rate 65%793.7shares0xjamesBwin rate 70%489.3shares
0xbae1…d8abBwin rate 38%483.9shares0x437b…1d11Bwin rate 43%447.8sharesAM9691Bwin rate 22%317.5shares0xa313…eb44Bwin rate 48%310shares
belitskiy22Bwin rate 74%295.2sharesTralaleloTralalalaBwin rate 59%165.7sharesMEEZANBETBwin rate 54%161.3sharesginolleBwin rate 41%111shares
0xba76…e0d7Bwin rate 83%110shareshortikkkBwin rate 44%100shareskintgBwin rate 64%39sharesfraneotbBwin rate 65%37.3shares
AponyBwin rate 55%5sharesOtomiBwin rate 37%4.5sharesHyperwellNerdZBwin rate 72%1.6sharesqczxp09862Bwin rate 67%1.5shares
dsafhhjBwin rate 50%1.1shareswahaha33Bwin rate 68%0.8sharesoxbusBwin rate 60%0.4shares

$262,632 across 51 wallets positioned at selection

Why

Profitable wallets hold Arsenal FC, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
Arsenal FC
Sharp %
79.7%
Market %
62.5%
Consensus edge
+17.2%
Traders
51
Sharp $
$262,632
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 5 of 6

Pick 6 of 6: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

Polymarket logo
MLB
San Diego PadresRecord 80-68
7
vs
San Francisco GiantsRecord 62-87
6
Win

San Diego Padres to win

Price

62.5c

Performance
Units +0.60u
CLV +0.0%
Who’s on it
ferrariChampions2026Swin rate 60%7,345.8shares0x076d…8d4cAwin rate 51%6,863.6sharessentrioAwin rate 54%5shares5f5aAwin rate 56%3shares
monkeymashingkeyboardBwin rate 55%13,581.1shares

$17,374 across 5 wallets positioned at selection

Why

Profitable wallets hold San Diego Padres, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
San Diego Padres
Sharp %
66.3%
Market %
62.5%
Consensus edge
+3.8%
Traders
5
Sharp $
$17,374
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 6 of 6