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Pick of the Day -- Friday, September 4, 2026

The Pick of the Day for Friday, September 4, 2026: the side the sharp money backed, the proof behind it, and how it settled.

Picks for Friday, September 4, 2026

6 picks

Pick 1 of 6

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Bundesliga
VfB StuttgartRecord 1-0-1
4
vs
1. FC KölnRecord 1-0-1
1
Loss

O/U 3.5 (Under)

Price

48.5c

Performance
Units -1.00u
CLV -1.0%
Who’s on it
FlaznorpSwin rate 62%1,934sharesJAMJAMJAM4Awin rate 57%3,920sharesGC-PAwin rate 61%1,500sharesFragMalDenRalleAwin rate 56%1,200shares
0xb1cb…2345Awin rate 44%1,161sharesLaarsYAwin rate 56%1,000sharesKnightDasCapitalAwin rate 53%1,000shareszbettsAwin rate 56%199shares
LeLynxMalynxAwin rate 67%131.6sharesColdMathAwin rate 70%100shares38791873984189Awin rate 73%50sharesPan9XAwin rate 87%10shares
jmp123Awin rate 91%5shares0xeefa…7a5aAwin rate Not enough data4sharesdentleightadmanAwin rate 48%3.8sharesWelcome2026Awin rate 37%2shares
emacronAwin rate 57%1sharesHongYunXBwin rate 62%13,483shares0x8a3a…eb9aBwin rate 38%12,175.7shares

$18,656 across 19 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

HongYunX (grade B) came out ahead in 62% of their Soccer markets, across 332 resolved, and holds $6,674 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds O/U 3.5 (Under), led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
O/U 3.5 (Under)
Sharp %
64.4%
Market %
48.5%
Consensus edge
+15.9%
Traders
19
Sharp $
$18,656
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 1 of 6

Pick 2 of 6

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BLAST Open · Porto · Playoffs
FURIA
1
vs
Vitality
2
Win

Vitality to win

Price

65.5c

Performance
Units +0.53u
CLV +0.0%
Who’s on it
0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Swin rate 58%16,115.5sharessentrioAwin rate 56%8,041.2sharesxrebornAwin rate 57%2,852sharesMeowtchiAwin rate 60%1,538.4shares
DumplingBMFAwin rate 64%1,268.5sharesJarod21Awin rate 57%1,111.1sharesself-defenceAwin rate 86%972shares300PSAwin rate 54%769shares
Gl4dAwin rate 59%675shareswaquandAAwin rate 66%500shares0xb66c…a0f5Awin rate 65%334.4sharesMarlaSinger1999Awin rate 61%100shares
38791873984189Awin rate 50%37sharesRadioFreeZergAwin rate 75%25.7shares0x68ae…9df0Awin rate Not enough data5sharesDiabolical-PrizeBwin rate 60%91,900.5shares
ExplosiveNinjaBwin rate 60%79,999.9shareskovalonBwin rate 73%6,562.5sharessuleng66Bwin rate 74%3,030.3sharesMgd11Bwin rate 52%2,820shares
huntermax1224Bwin rate 60%1,384.5sharessuprBwin rate 55%1,076.9shareskingsirpredictionconnoisseurBwin rate 57%1,000shares-yur-Bwin rate 62%500shares
xsetBwin rate 54%135shares0xb21b…88f9Bwin rate 57%124.3shareszakamazuzaBwin rate 65%12shares

$125,194 across 27 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

kovalon (grade B) came out ahead in 73% of their Esports markets, across 106 resolved, and holds $4,233 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds Vitality, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
Vitality
Sharp %
73.9%
Market %
65.5%
Consensus edge
+8.4%
Traders
27
Sharp $
$125,194
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 2 of 6

Pick 3 of 6

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VCT · Americas Stage 2 · Playoffs
NRG
0
vs
100 Thieves
2
Loss

NRG to win

Price

52.5c

Performance
Units -1.00u
CLV +0.0%
Who’s on it
GooooooollllllllllSwin rate 53%14,900.4sharesSnakeBallSwin rate 62%256sharesExcession6Awin rate 56%6,900sharesStickman22Awin rate 53%4,000shares
sentrioAwin rate 56%2,434.3sharesvibing123Awin rate 54%1,706.8sharesantecAwin rate 39%320shares0x48jd0ql531a6k7y4zAwin rate 55%209.1shares
MarlaSinger1999Awin rate 61%100sharesno1dodgersfanAwin rate 53%51sharesunclefei028Awin rate 66%18.2shareskostyatechAwin rate 64%11shares
FraneSelakAwin rate 48%0.2sharesbrettfavre444Bwin rate 66%5,156.2shares0x58ce…e206Bwin rate 60%2,034.2sharesBobbyBakedBeansBwin rate 39%1.7shares

$19,831 across 16 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

brettfavre444 (grade B) came out ahead in 65% of their Esports markets, across 1,787 resolved, and holds $2,707 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds NRG, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
NRG
Sharp %
63.4%
Market %
52.5%
Consensus edge
+10.9%
Traders
16
Sharp $
$19,831
Game ViewView on Polymarket
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Pick 4 of 6

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Ligue 1
Paris Saint-Germain FCRecord 0-2-1
1
vs
AS Monaco FCRecord 3-0-0
2
Loss

Paris Saint-Germain FC to win

Price

72.5c

Performance
Units -1.00u
CLV +0.0%
Who’s on it
FlaznorpSwin rate 62%26,225.9sharesVeryLucky888Swin rate 61%11,415.4sharesNM-PAwin rate 59%2,506.3sharesGC-PAwin rate 61%2,301.4shares
emacronAwin rate 57%1,000sharesno1dodgersfanAwin rate 59%707.1shares0x99f0…9495Awin rate 61%357sharesLeBronJamesBondAwin rate 75%138.9shares
dv-pmAwin rate 46%60sharesLeLynxMalynxAwin rate 67%55sharesLitquidPMAwin rate 56%30sharesPan9XAwin rate 87%10shares
38791873984189Awin rate 73%5shares0x5016…1eebBwin rate 68%137sharesBobbyBakedBeansBwin rate 41%74sharesqczxp09862Bwin rate 68%2.9shares

$29,845 across 16 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

Flaznorp (grade S) came out ahead in 60% of their Soccer markets, across 5,639 resolved, and holds $19,014 here as of selection, against $311 on the other side.

Why

Proven sharp money holds Paris Saint-Germain FC, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Sharp %
80.3%
Market %
72.5%
Consensus edge
+7.8%
Traders
16
Sharp $
$29,845
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 4 of 6

Pick 5 of 6

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Bundesliga
VfB StuttgartRecord 1-0-1
4
vs
1. FC KölnRecord 1-0-1
1
Win

VfB Stuttgart to win

Price

66.5c

Performance
Units +0.50u
CLV +0.0%
Who’s on it
FlaznorpSwin rate 62%7,821.8sharesGC-PAwin rate 61%2,006.9sharesCannaeAwin rate 76%1,586.3sharesNM-PAwin rate 59%858.6shares
emacronAwin rate 57%390.7shares0x99f0…9495Awin rate 61%384sharesPan9XAwin rate 87%10shares38791873984189Awin rate 73%5.8shares
dentleightadmanAwin rate 48%3.1sharesplonker2026Bwin rate 45%169,999.6shares0x3328…e6b8Bwin rate 51%60,606.1shares0x6daa…954aBwin rate 29%29.3shares
Bunter.HidenBwin rate 45%1.5shares

$154,764 across 13 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

Flaznorp (grade S) came out ahead in 60% of their Soccer markets, across 5,639 resolved, and holds $1,555 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds VfB Stuttgart, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
VfB Stuttgart
Sharp %
73.7%
Market %
66.5%
Consensus edge
+7.2%
Traders
13
Sharp $
$154,764
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 5 of 6

Pick 6 of 6

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MLB
Detroit TigersRecord 67-79
6
vs
Cleveland GuardiansRecord 74-72
7
Loss

Detroit Tigers to win

Price

45.5c

Performance
Units -1.00u
CLV +2.2%
Who’s on it
0x2c33…0563Swin rate 53%36,827.6sharesHomeRunHazardSwin rate 62%4,481.5shareswapolSwin rate 53%1,339.7sharesBoomLaLaSwin rate 62%1,200shares
swisstonySwin rate 57%446.2sharesSnakeBallSwin rate 51%166.5sharesdv-pmAwin rate 49%17,017.8sharessentrioAwin rate 54%4,260.8shares
6512395314597884Awin rate 53%4,000sharesclaudesportsAwin rate 26%3,579sharesBillBenter2026Awin rate 83%3,265sharesHerdoniaAwin rate 52%2,426.5shares
zengleleleAwin rate 54%1,375.6sharesLornaPredictsAwin rate 6%538.2sharespjotrekkkAwin rate 45%455sharessporteoAwin rate 60%340shares
0x948b…a188Awin rate 45%67.5shares5f5aAwin rate 58%50sharesantecAwin rate 39%20shares0x10a1…578aAwin rate 50%9.8shares
0xc75b…3ea7Awin rate 46%6.5shares38791873984189Awin rate 55%5.8sharesJarod21Awin rate 53%5.5sharesFraneSelakAwin rate 47%5.2shares
jmp123Awin rate 90%5sharesronaldoooAwin rate 63%2.1sharesLavinceyAwin rate 41%0.7shareszbettsAwin rate 50%0shares
ic4creamBwin rate 55%11,932sharesriverskewBwin rate 48%1,530.6sharesKFCUFCBwin rate 48%242shares0x2f4e…1fb8Bwin rate 46%210.7shares
pandamanbroBwin rate 56%70shares0x5b62…d87fBwin rate 52%38.5sharesitsjustcheddarBwin rate 49%32.5shares0xc7d0…1f8aBwin rate 56%19shares
0x99bc…4f35Bwin rate 21%0.1shares

$33,732 across 37 wallets positioned at selection

Why

Proven sharp money holds Detroit Tigers, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
Detroit Tigers
Sharp %
80.4%
Market %
45.5%
Consensus edge
+34.9%
Traders
37
Sharp $
$33,732
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 6 of 6
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