Polymarket wallets ranked by how far their settled tennis buys beat the price they paid, on a conservative lower bound, beside the recent large trades on Grand Slams, ATP and WTA tour matches, and tournament winners across every surface.
Ranked by the 95% lower bound of each wallet's edge on its first large buys, observed as they filled and equal-weighted by independent event. Coverage is Polymarket only and partial: large taker buys since model launch, not reconstructed history, and not raw win rate.
A live rank needs 30 resolved independent events. Each row uses model category-skill-v2.1.0, and observations begin , from partial Goldsky primary taker fills. Edge metrics refreshed 58m ago.
Large trades in tennis, ranked by how unusual they are rather than by time, each with the wallet behind it. Without Pro a trade reaches this flow once it is 24 hours old, and the suspicion score behind the ranking stays with Pro.
Wallets first seen in the last 30 days, placing large directional trades. They have little settled history yet, so this is flow, not edge.
The wallets ranked at the top of this page. The order is the 95% lower bound of each wallet's edge against the price paid, measured on its first large buy in every settled tennis market as it filled. A short lucky run has a wide interval and a low bound, so it rarely reaches the top.
Surface-specific win rates, serve statistics (ace rate, first-serve percentage, break point conversion), head-to-head records, recent form, and scheduling fatigue.
Surface changes who is favored. A clay-court specialist can be a heavy favorite at Roland Garros and an underdog at Wimbledon, and a surface-adjusted rating finds the prices that ignore the difference.
Every other category we track.
Yes. The Australian Open, Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and the US Open carry the highest tennis volume. Early rounds at smaller ATP/WTA events can be thin.
Fatigue can be underpriced. A player in back-to-back tournaments, or one who finished the previous round late, can play below their rating, and the schedule and the recovery window are public before the match.
