Polymarket wallets ranked by how far their settled hockey buys beat the price they paid, on a conservative lower bound, beside the recent large trades on NHL games, series prices, Stanley Cup futures, and player props. NHL game prices often sit near 50¢, so a small edge in probability matters.
Ranked by the 95% lower bound of each wallet's edge on its first large buys, observed as they filled and equal-weighted by independent event. Coverage is Polymarket only and partial: large taker buys since model launch, not reconstructed history, and not raw win rate.
A live rank needs 30 resolved independent events. Each row uses model category-skill-v2.1.0, and observations begin , from partial Goldsky primary taker fills. Edge metrics refreshed 58m ago.
Large trades in hockey, ranked by how unusual they are rather than by time, each with the wallet behind it. Without Pro a trade reaches this flow once it is 24 hours old, and the suspicion score behind the ranking stays with Pro.
Wallets first seen in the last 30 days, placing large directional trades. They have little settled history yet, so this is flow, not edge.
The wallets ranked at the top of this page. The order is the 95% lower bound of each wallet's edge against the price paid, measured on its first large buy in every settled hockey market as it filled. A short lucky run has a wide interval and a low bound, so it rarely reaches the top.
Variance. The best team in the NHL wins roughly 60% of its games, where a top NBA team wins 70%+, so prices cluster near 50/50 and a small edge in probability pays over a full season.
Expected goals (xGF%), high-danger chance rates, goaltender save percentages, power play efficiency, and back-to-back fatigue. The goaltender confirmation matters most: the gap between a starter and a backup can move win probability by 5-10%.
Every other category we track.
Moderate in the regular season, much deeper in the Stanley Cup Playoffs and Finals. Canadian teams and Original Six matchups draw the most trading.
They trade differently from the regular season: goaltending dominates, coaching adjustments matter more, and a series price can overreact to one result.
