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Probable Markets Whale Trades Are Now Live

Yesterday we shipped Kalshi whale trades. Today we're adding a third platform: every large trade on Probable Markets now streams into your terminal in real time.

Probable is a prediction market built on BNB Chain (BSC). Unlike Kalshi — where trades happen on a centralized exchange — Probable trades are on-chain, which means every transaction is verifiable with a wallet address and a hash you can look up on BSCScan.

Open the whale trades terminal, and you'll see Probable trades flowing alongside Polymarket and Kalshi. Same feed. Same filters. Three platforms.

Whale Trades Terminal
  TIME      TYPE  PLAT  SIDE   MARKET                              USD       TRADER
 ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
  2m ago    WHL   PM    BUY    Will BTC hit $150K by July?       $42,100   0xc4a2…f8b1
  3m ago    WHL   PRB   BUY    Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05?       $25,800   0xcaef…a5f2
  5m ago    WHL   KSH   SELL   Fed rate cut in March?            $58,300   Anonymous ?
  7m ago    WHL   PRB   BUY    Will Satoshi move BTC in 2026?    $31,400   0xad6c…2d6
  9m ago    WHL   PM    SELL   Trump wins 2026 midterms?         $19,800   polywhale.eth
 11m ago    WHL   KSH   BUY    US recession by Q3 2026?          $45,600   Anonymous ?

Why Probable matters

Probable is growing fast. It's one of the few prediction markets running on BNB Chain, which means a different user base, different liquidity pools, and different pricing than what you see on Polymarket or Kalshi.

When a whale drops $25,000 on a Dogecoin outcome on Probable and the same market trades at a different price on Polymarket, that's a signal. Maybe the BNB Chain crowd knows something the Polygon crowd doesn't. Maybe it's noise. But without visibility into both, you'd never even ask the question.

That visibility is now live.

What you'll see

Platform badge — Probable trades show the Probable icon in the feed. At a glance, you know which platform the money is moving on.

On-chain data — Every Probable trade includes the wallet address and transaction hash. Click the tx hash to verify it on BSCScan. Click the trader to see their wallet on BNB Chain.

Trade details — Size in USD, market name, outcome, direction, and price. Same format as Polymarket and Kalshi trades.

Platform filter — Filter the feed by Probable only, combine it with other platforms, or watch everything at once. The filter bar now supports all three exchanges.

Three platforms, one terminal

This is what 0xInsider was built for. Prediction markets are fragmenting across chains and exchanges. Polymarket on Polygon, Kalshi as a regulated US exchange, Probable on BNB Chain. Each platform has its own traders, its own liquidity, and its own pricing.

Watching one platform means missing two-thirds of the market. Watching all three separately means juggling tabs, refreshing pages, and still being late.

Now you open one terminal and see everything. Every whale trade, from every major prediction market, the moment it happens. Filter by platform when you want to focus. Watch all three when you want the full picture.

A note on Probable trader data

Probable trades are on-chain, so we can see wallet addresses and verify transactions on BSCScan — similar to Polymarket. However, Probable doesn't have the same depth of historical data that Polymarket offers. We pull win rate, P&L, and markets traded from Probable's API, but full trader profiles with grades, strategy classification, and deep analytics are currently Polymarket-only.

As Probable's ecosystem matures and more data becomes available, we'll expand coverage.


Three platforms. One feed. If you've been watching prediction markets through a single lens, you've been watching a fraction of the action.

Open the terminal