---
title: "How to Bet on Cricket on Polymarket: Match Winner, Toss and Team Props"
canonical: "https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-bet-on-cricket-polymarket"
datePublished: "2026-09-14"
dateModified: "2026-09-14"
description: "How Polymarket lists a cricket match: the match-winner moneyline, the toss and completed-match side markets, and team top-batter and most-sixes props, how each settles a rained-off match, and what 6,132 settled large buys say about cricket's live prices."
---

# How to Bet on Cricket on Polymarket: Match Winner, Toss and Team Props

Last updated: 2026-09-14
Canonical: https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-bet-on-cricket-polymarket

Cricket is a rain-affected sport with a moneyline that still has to settle, so Polymarket lists a side market just for whether a match reaches an official result at all. This guide covers what each cricket market is and how it settles a No Result, where the $133.8 million in settled large-buy volume since April actually went (99.5% of it to the moneyline), why cricket favorites have won more than their price implied while MMA's have not, why 89.0% of that volume landed after the first ball rather than before it, and how to read a match on 0xinsider.

## A cricket match on Polymarket

Polymarket lists each match as an event named for the two teams, "T20 Asia Cup, Women: India vs Sri Lanka," with the moneyline as its core market, paying $1 a share to whichever team is declared the winner. Cricket has settled 8,163 large buys across 351 matches since February 2026 on 0xinsider, and it spans dozens of competitions at once: T20 leagues from the Caribbean Premier League to Kuwait's Kerala Premier League, women's internationals, and ODI and T20 bilateral series.

Most matches carry only the moneyline. A smaller set adds who wins the toss, whether the match reaches an official result, and which team's player scores the most runs or hits the most sixes. On the India-Sri Lanka match above, the moneyline alone had traded $300,501 as of this writing; the toss-winner market had traded $96 and the completed-match market $9.09. That gap is the norm, not the exception, and the section below on where the money goes has the numbers across the whole sport.

## How a cricket match settles

The moneyline resolves according to the finalized match result, sourced from ESPNcricinfo. A result reached through the DLS method, over-rate penalties, a forfeit or walkover, or any other on-field ruling counts as an ordinary win, the same as a result reached the normal way. A match tied on the field settles by whatever on-field tiebreak the competition's playing conditions provide, a Super Over most often; if the conditions provide no tiebreak, or none is used, the market resolves 50-50.

A match that is postponed stays open until it is played. A match permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed with no winner declared, a rained-off T20 with no result being the common case, resolves the moneyline 50-50 as well: every share on both teams pays 50 cents.

## Side markets: the toss and the weather

Cricket carries two side markets the moneyline does not. Who wins the toss is its own Yes/No market per team, settled on the official coin toss regardless of how the match itself turns out. Toss match double combines the two: a team's side of that market pays only if that team wins both the toss and the match, and every other outcome, including a split where one team wins the toss and the other wins the match, resolves to Draw.

The completed match market is the direct answer to cricket's weather problem: "Is this match going to produce a real result?" It resolves Yes on any match that reaches an official result under the competition's playing conditions, DLS, a Super Over and a forfeit all count, and No if the match is abandoned, ends in No Result, is canceled, or otherwise finishes with no result. On a T20 in a region with an unreliable forecast, this market is a direct bet on the weather holding, separate from picking a side.

## Team props: top batter and most sixes

Team top batter and most sixes are both team-level markets, not bets on a named player: top batter pays the team whose player records the match's single highest individual run total, and most sixes pays the team that hits more sixes in total, sixes off the bat only, extras and overthrows excluded, and sixes hit in a Super Over do not count. Both resolve to Draw if the two teams tie on the relevant number, and both are decided on the game's actual statistics even when a match is not fully completed for weather, unless no statistics were recorded at all, in which case they resolve to Draw as well.

These are genuinely different markets from the moneyline: a team can lose the match while still producing the game's top scorer or hitting the most sixes. They are also, per the volume figures below, the least-traded corner of the cricket board today.

## Where the money actually goes

From April 2 to September 14, 2026, 0xinsider recorded 6,132 large buys settling on cricket markets, $133.8 million in notional across 574 wallets and 245 matches. 6,103 of those buys, 99.5% of the count and $133.5 million of the notional, sat on the moneyline. Toss winner, toss match double, completed match, team top batter and most sixes together account for the rest, and none of them individually drew enough large buys in this window to report a separate win rate.

That is despite the props being common on the board: of the cricket markets Polymarket opened in the 60 days to September 14, 2026, team top batter (36) actually outnumbered the moneyline (34), with most sixes (29) and toss match double (28) close behind. The props exist and are listed widely; the money has not followed them yet.

## Cricket favorites are worth the price

Cricket sits on the other side of the favorite-longshot bias from MMA. From April 2 to September 14, 2026, buyers of cricket favorites at 70 cents or more paid 85.1 cents on average and won 89.8% of the time, 4.62 points ahead of the price, across 2,892 buys. That is the largest positive gap of any sport with comparable volume in this range: soccer favorites won almost exactly what they cost, and MMA favorites, covered in the guide at 0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-bet-on-ufc-polymarket, lost badly.

A gap this size, in this direction, is not free money: it says the market has been a little slow to fully price a strong favorite in cricket, not that every short-priced team is underpriced. The chart below sets cricket's favorites beside every other sport measured the same way, from the study at 0xinsider.com/research/favorite-longshot-bias-polymarket-sports.

## Live cricket: where almost all the money is

Cricket is the most live-driven sport 0xinsider tracks. Of the 6,113 settled large cricket buys with a known match start time from April 2 to September 14, 2026, 5,443, 89.0%, landed after the first ball rather than before it. In-play buyers paid 68.8 cents on average and came in 1.95 points ahead of the price, while the much smaller pre-match group, 670 buys, paid 54.9 cents and came in 4.92 points behind.

A T20 chases and collapses inside three hours, so the price has less time to go stale than it does in a five-day Test, and the buyers in this data have mostly waited for the match to start before sizing a position. The chart below sets cricket's in-play share beside every other sport measured the same way; MMA is the next-highest, and well behind it.

## What the sharp money shows in cricket

0xinsider grades every wallet from S to F on its settled record. From June 1 to September 14, 2026, wallets graded S, A or B placed 113 large cricket buys across 25 wallets, paying 74.7 cents on average and coming in 5.86 points ahead of the price. Wallets graded D or F placed 129 buys across 33 wallets, paying 82.1 cents and coming in 2.99 points behind. Both counts are well under the 500-per-cohort bar the cross-sport sharp-money study sets before it reports a sport on its own, so read this as a direction on a small sample: the graded wallets have been on the better side of cricket's price so far.

The full cross-sport version of this study, with the method and the confidence intervals, is at 0xinsider.com/research/sharp-money-polymarket-sports.

## How to read a cricket match on 0xinsider

The cricket board at 0xinsider.com/sports/cricket lists live and upcoming matches with an active Polymarket market, live first; it is not a full fixture list. Each card shows both teams' prices and implied chances, live match state once play starts, and the Profitable wallets block: two bars per team, Smart for the profitable wallets' share of the money and Market for the price's implied chance.

Open a match for its event page. The Markets section lists every market family the match carries, moneyline, toss, completed match and either team prop, with each family's volume, so you can see which markets actually have liquidity before you trade one. The rail's Top holders tab lists the wallets holding each side with the grade each has earned, and the whale alerts feed at 0xinsider.com/whale-alerts shows every large trade as it fills, marked BUY or SELL.

## Frequently Asked Questions

Can you bet on cricket on Polymarket? Yes. Every match lists a moneyline, and many also list who wins the toss, a toss-and-match double, whether the match reaches an official result, and team props for the top individual scorer and the most sixes. Each market pays $1 a share on its outcome.

What happens to a Polymarket cricket bet if the match is rained off? If the match is abandoned, ends in No Result, or is otherwise permanently canceled with no winner declared, the moneyline resolves 50-50: every share on both teams pays 50 cents. The completed-match market, where listed, resolves No.

What does the completed match market mean on Polymarket? It is a Yes/No bet on whether the match produces an official result at all. It resolves Yes on any result, including one reached by DLS, a Super Over or a forfeit, and No if the match is abandoned, ends in No Result or is canceled.

Is top batter a bet on an individual player? No. Polymarket's team top batter market pays the team whose player records the match's highest individual run total, not a market on which specific player will do it.

Are cricket favorites a good bet on Polymarket? The data leans yes. From April 2 to September 14, 2026, cricket favorites priced at 70 cents or more won 89.8% of the time against an average price of 85.1 cents, a 4.62-point gap, the largest positive gap of any sport with comparable volume.